Published January 20, 2026 | Version Published
Journal Article Open

Human-induced biospheric carbon sink: Impact from the Taklamakan Afforestation Project

  • 1. ROR icon University of Houston
  • 2. ROR icon California Institute of Technology
  • 3. ROR icon Bay Area Air Quality Management District
  • 4. ROR icon University of California, Riverside
  • 5. ROR icon Tsinghua University

Abstract

The Taklamakan Desert, one of the world’s largest and driest deserts, has traditionally been considered a biological void. Here, we demonstrate that large-scale ecological restoration is transforming this hyperarid environment into a carbon sink. By analyzing satellite and ground-based data, we find strong seasonal dynamics: During the wet season (Jul to Sep), precipitation increases to 16.3 mm/mo, enhancing vegetation coverage and photosynthetic activity and drawing down atmospheric CO2 by approximately three parts per million (ppm) relative to the dry-season levels. Long-term trends reveal significant increases in vegetation cover (6.8 × 10−4/y) and photosynthetic activity (6.1 × 10−3 W/m2/sr/µm/y), accompanied by a strengthening net CO2 uptake (NEE trend: −5.2 × 10−12 kg/m2/s/y). These changes are spatially concentrated along the desert margins and their timing aligns with implementation of China’s Three-North Shelterbelt Program. Our results provide the direct evidence that human-led intervention can effectively enhance carbon sequestration in even the most extreme arid landscapes, demonstrating the potential to transform a desert into a carbon sink and halt desertification. This underscores the critical role of dryland restoration in global carbon management strategies and highlights the Taklamakan Desert as a model for climate change mitigation through nature-based solutions and ecological engineering.

Copyright and License

© 2026 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.This article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-Non-Commercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND).

Acknowledgement

We thank the editor and two anonymous referees for their time and constructive suggestions, which greatly improved our manuscript.

Contributions

S. Noor, X.J., and Y.L.Y. designed research; S. Noor and X.J. performed research; S. Noor, X.J., X.W., and J.Y. analyzed data; and S. Noor, X.J., X.W., J.Y., S. Newman, K.-F.L., L.L., L.Y., X.L., and Y.L.Y. wrote the paper.

Data Availability

Previously published data were used for this work. MODIS monthly Level 3 NDVI data (23) are at https://modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/mod13.php. OCO-2 CO2 retrievals (31) are from https://ocov2.jpl.nasa.gov/science/oco-2-data-center/. GPCP data (27) are at https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.gpcp.html. NCEP2 data (28) are at https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis2.html. All other data are included in the article and/or SI Appendix.

Supplemental Material

Appendix 01 (PDF)

Files

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Additional details

Identifiers

Funding

NASA Earth Science
80NM0018D0004

Dates

Submitted
2025-08-23
Accepted
2025-12-04

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