Published July 2020 | Version Submitted
Journal Article Open

A multi-group SEIRA model for the spread of COVID-19 among heterogeneous populations

Abstract

The outbreak and propagation of COVID-19 have posed a considerable challenge to modern society. In particular, the different restrictive actions taken by governments to prevent the spread of the virus have changed the way humans interact and conceive interaction. Due to geographical, behavioral, or economic factors, different sub-groups among a population are more (or less) likely to interact, and thus to spread/acquire the virus. In this work, we present a general multi-group SEIRA model for representing the spread of COVID-19 among a heterogeneous population and test it in a numerical case of study. By highlighting its applicability and the ease with which its general formulation can be adapted to particular studies, we expect our model to lead us to a better understanding of the evolution of this pandemic and to better public-health policies to control it.

Additional Information

© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. Received 23 April 2020, Accepted 20 May 2020, Available online 25 May 2020. The authors gratefully acknowledge support from the Chilean National Agency for Research and development through ANID PIA Grant AFB180004, and the Centre for Biotechnology and Bioengineering - CeBiB (PIA project FB0001, Conicyt, Chile). DM-O gratefully acknowledges Conicyt, Chile, for PhD fellowship 21181435. CRediT authorship contribution statement - Sebastián Contreras: Conceptualization, Methodology, Investigation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing, Supervision. H. Andrés Villavicencio: Methodology, Validation, Investigation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing. David Medina-Ortiz: Validation, Investigation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing. Juan Pablo Biron-Lattes: Validation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing. Álvaro Olivera-Nappa: Validation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing, Supervision, Project administration, Funding acquisition. The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

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Additional details

Identifiers

PMCID
PMC7247502
Eprint ID
103773
Resolver ID
CaltechAUTHORS:20200608-115356852

Related works

Funding

Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (CONICYT)
AFB180004
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (CONICYT)
FB0001
Comisión Nacional de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica (CONICYT)
21181435

Dates

Created
2020-06-08
Created from EPrint's datestamp field
Updated
2021-11-16
Created from EPrint's last_modified field

Caltech Custom Metadata

Caltech groups
COVID-19